Analysts at Morgan Stanley Research recently polled 299 investors about the impact that a potential Iranian nuclear deal would have on the global oil market.

Analyst Haythem Rashed summarized the survey results and noted important upcoming deadlines for oil investors to watch when it comes to the Iran negotiations.

Market Anticipating Increase In Iranian Oil Exports

Morgan Stanley asked poll participants how much Iranian oil exports will increase by the end of 2015 and into 2016. The most popular choice for 2015 was an incremental Iranian export increase of 200kb/d.

Nearly 40 percent of respondents anticipate Iranian exports to increase by 200-300kb/d, while 15 percent of those polled see no change to Iran’s oil exports this year.

For 2016, over half of all respondents believe that Iranian oil exports will increase between 500 and 800 kb/d, and 13 percent expect a greater than 1mb/d increase in exports by the end of next year.

Potential Upside To Oil Prices

The Morgan Stanley poll seems to indicate…

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