In a new report, Barclays analyst Guillermo Felices takes an in-depth look at the shaky Chinese economy. Barclays’ regression analysis identified the assets that would be most sensitive to a further slowdown in China in 2016.
Outlook
The 2016 China growth numbers will likely be critical for global asset markets, as fears surrounding Chinese growth were the root of the August selloff in equity and commodity markets. Barclays is forecasting 2016 China GDP growth of 6.0 percent, well short of 2015’s 6.8 percent growth rate.
Barclays analysts identified the assets that are most sensitive to a China slowdown by comparing asset performance over the past year to implied performance based on slower China growth.
Not Material
In terms of equities, Barclays determined…
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