In a new report, Marty Fridson, CIO at Lehmann Livian Fridson Advisors LLC – a wealth management fund specializing in income investing, focuses on speculative high-yield corporate bonds. Fridson has crunched the numbers and has determined that the market is currently pricing in a 44 percent chance of a U.S. recession within the next year.

Fridson used the data in the table above and the following method to make his calculation.

Although he notes…

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