Is Chevron’s Dividend The Next To Fall?

Another high-yielding oil major bit the dust this week as investors waved goodbye to ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP)’s 8.3% dividend yield when the company announced a 66% dividend cut. The move underscores the importance of assessing the health of a dividend prior to investing in a stock, especially in an industry under as much pressure as the oil industry is currently under.

Now that COP has pulled the trigger on a cut, Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX)’s 5.0% yield will likely start drawing some intense scrutiny from dividend investors as well. Today, I’ll take a look at closer look at CVX’s generous dividend to determine whether or not shareholders should be concerned that CVS will soon follow in COP’s footsteps.

How did we get here?
One look at a graph of CVX’s share price versus its dividend yield in recent years exposes what’s really behind the surge in CVX’s yield: falling share price.

Unfortunately, this is not the ideal route to a high yield for dividend investors, who would prefer to see payout hikes behind a high yield rather than stock weakness. It’s also unsettling that CVX has never before ventured above a 5.0% yield in history, an indicator that management would likely prefer a lower payout.

Value
Unfortunately, there’s no sure-fire way of determining when a company will pull the trigger on a dividend cut, but there are…

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