If China Sneezes, Who Else Gets Sick?

The attention of global investors is squarely on China these days, and a growing number of data point are showing that coming growth in China may not be nearly as strong as previously predicted. In a new report, Barclays analyst Michael Gapen looks at just how contagious China’s economic sickness could be for the rest of the world.

The Illness

China’s August trade data shows that both Chinese imports and exports contracted further in the month of August, with imports dropping 13.8 percent year-over-year. The weakness led Barclays to cut its 2015 overall import growth projection for China from -6.7 percent to -10.3 percent. Barclays is calling for a benchmark rate cut of 0.25 percent from China before the end of the year and predicts two more 0.5 percent RRR cuts in Q4, as well.

Market Contagion

Unfortunately, Barclays believes…

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