Why Wasn’t A DOJ Antitrust Lawsuit Bad News For Baker Hughes?

On the surface, a U.S. Department of Justice antitrust lawsuit filing would certainly seem like bad news for a potential buyout target like Baker Hughes Incorporated BHI. However, since the DOJ announced it intends to block the Baker Hughes/Halliburton Company HAL merger on April 6, Baker Hughes stock has surged more than 10 percent.

What’s Going On Here?

There are two factors at play for Baker Hughes. First, if either Baker Hughes or Halliburton decides to abandon the deal rather than fight the DOJ, Baker Hughes gets a massive $3.5 billion termination fee from Halliburton. With just over 437 million outstanding shares, this termination fee is equal to about $8 per share for Baker Hugher. Looking at it another way, $3.5 billion is equal to about 17 percent of the company’s current market cap.

But there’s more potential good news for Baker Hughes. If the Halliburton deal falls through, there are a number of other companies that are rumored to be interested in buying or merging with Baker Hughes.

This week, JPMorgan’s Sean Meakim called a potential Baker Hughes/National-Oilwell Varco, Inc. NOV merger possibly “the best route to value creation over the next cycle.”

Barclays analyst J. David Anderson says that Baker Hughes could be “the missing piece” for General Electric Company GE’s oil unit, and GE certainly has the resources for a buyout.

Finally, this week CNBC’s Jim Cramer said that integrated oil companies like Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM and Chevron Corporation CVX could choose to pounce on Baker Hughes if the Halliburton deal falls through.

“Who wouldn’t want to own…

Click here to continue reading

Want to learn more about how to profit off the stock market? Or maybe you just want to be able to look sophisticated in front of your coworkers when they ask you what you are reading on your Kindle, and you’d prefer to tell them “Oh, I’m just reading a book about stock market analysis,” rather than the usual “Oh, I’m just looking at pics of my ex-girlfriend on Facebook.” For these reasons and more, check out my book, Beating Wall Street with Common SenseI don’t have a degree in finance; I have a degree in neuroscience. You don’t have to predict what stocks will do if you can predict what traders will do and be one step ahead of them. I made a 400% return in the stock market over five years using only basic principles of psychology and common sense. Beating Wall Street with Common Sense is now available on Amazon, and tradingcommonsense.com is always available on your local internet!