Intra-stock correlation among the top 50 stocks in the S&P 500 is currently at its highest point since the 2011 European sovereign debt crisis. According to Citi analyst Tobias Levkovich, this phenomenon has likely created a lot of value in segments of the U.S. market.
The Brexit selloff was an excellent time to buy high-quality stocks on the dip, as most top names were sold off alongside low-quality names. The S&P 500 top 50 realized one-month correlation versus the S&P 500 is currently at 81 percent, a level last reached in December 2011. Not even the recession scare earlier this year resulted in such high a correlation.
Levkovich noted high correlation numbers have been a good bullish indicator in the past. In addition, Citi has seen anecdotal evidence from clients that market sentiment is extremely low, another typically bullish indicator.
Despite Brexit-related economic slowdown fears, Citi is projecting that the S&P 500 will reach 2,250 by mid-2017.
“In this context, a 10 percent total return is…
Click here to continue reading
Want to learn more about how to profit off the stock market? Or maybe you just want to be able to look sophisticated in front of your coworkers when they ask you what you are reading on your Kindle, and you’d prefer to tell them “Oh, I’m just reading a book about stock market analysis,” rather than the usual “Oh, I’m just looking at pics of my ex-girlfriend on Facebook.” For these reasons and more, check out my book, Beating Wall Street with Common Sense. I don’t have a degree in finance; I have a degree in neuroscience. You don’t have to predict what stocks will do if you can predict what traders will do and be one step ahead of them. I made a 400% return in the stock market over five years using only basic principles of psychology and common sense. Beating Wall Street with Common Sense is now available on Amazon, and tradingcommonsense.com is always available on your local internet!