Where Is Gold Headed When Interest Rates Start Rising?

Gold selling has accelerated since Donald Trump’s surprise U.S. election win.

The SPDR Gold Trust (ETF) GLD 0.03% is now down 4.4 percent since Election Day and 8.3 percent in the past three months. In that same time, the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF GDX 0.37% is down 30.2 percent.

Much of the gold selling is related to fears that the Federal Reserve will once again begin raising interest rates starting in December. A post-election Reuters poll found that 85 percent of economists still expect a December rate hike.

However, rising interest rates may not be as bad for gold as investors are fearing.

Benzinga looked back at how gold prices fared during all six of the Fed tightening cycles in the past 30 years and found that gold averaged an 11.2 percent gain throughout these cycles. In fact, gold prices delivered positive returns in four out of the last six tightening cycles.

In the most recent tightening cycle from June 2004 to August 2006, gold prices soared 56.9 percent.

Despite the post-election selloff, gold is actually performing very well in the current cycle as well. Since the beginning of December 2015, gold prices are up 19.4 percent.

In the one week of trading following the election, levered gold ETFs have been…

Click here to continue reading

Want to learn more about how to profit off the stock market? Or maybe you just want to be able to look sophisticated in front of your coworkers when they ask you what you are reading on your Kindle, and you’d prefer to tell them “Oh, I’m just reading a book about stock market analysis,” rather than the usual “Oh, I’m just looking at pics of my ex-girlfriend on Facebook.” For these reasons and more, check out my book, Beating Wall Street with Common SenseI don’t have a degree in finance; I have a degree in neuroscience. You don’t have to predict what stocks will do if you can predict what traders will do and be one step ahead of them. I made a 400% return in the stock market over five years using only basic principles of psychology and common sense. Beating Wall Street with Common Sense is now available on Amazon, and tradingcommonsense.com is always available on your local internet!