Anyone that knows me or ever visits this site knows how talented I am at being humble. In fact, I’m so good at being humble that I might even be the humility champion of the world. But since the article I’m working on about some big insurance companies is not going to be finished in time to post today, I will take a couple of minutes to do something totally out of character for me and highlight some of my recent market predictions that turned out to be very profitable.
With the S&P 500 making new all-time highs this week, I’ll first talk about a couple of predictions that I made that I’m most proud of in this particular market environment: stocks that I predicted would fall.
- Bank of Ireland (NYSE: IRE) – I sold it on Feb. 14 at $18.75 and wrote an article explaining why. As you can see by the chart, I certainly didn’t sell at the top (I rarely do…), but the stock is down about 20% from my sell point as of today.
- World Wrestling Entertainment (NYSE: WWE) – On March 13, I wrote an article explaining why I was looking to buy puts to profit off of the drop I saw coming in WWE stock. Since I posted that article two months ago, WWE is down over 35%:
- Linn Energy (NASDAQ: LINE)- On March 5, I sold my shares of LINE after noticing a major technical breakdown in its chart. I sold at $32, and despite the large rise in the S&P since that date, LINE is down nearly 10%.
Now onto a couple of positive predictions:
- This one goes down as one of my best trades to date. I bought RF Micro Devices (NASDAQ: RFMD) in January for $4.50 (which turned out to be the bottom to the very cent!), I wrote an article on February 25 about why I was continuing to hold RFMD even after its share price jumped 21% in one day, and I recently sold my entire position in RFMD at $9.00. I could easily see RFMD getting to $10 or beyond, but I will take a 100% gain in less than four months to the bank any day of the week.
- Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL)- I wrote an article about Apple’s bright future on April 23. AAPL shares are up more than 13% in the three weeks since.
Not even the best traders get every trade right. The important thing is that you get more trades right than you get wrong and that you minimize the losses you endure from the trades you do get wrong.
Want to know the thought process and analysis that goes into these types of successful predictions? Or maybe you just want to be able to look sophisticated in front of your coworkers when they ask you what you are reading on your Kindle, and you’d prefer to tell them “Oh, I’m just reading a book about stock market analysis,” rather than the usual “Oh, I’m just looking at pics of my ex-girlfriend on Facebook.” For these reasons and more, check out my book, Beating Wall Street with Common Sense. I don’t have a degree in finance; I have a degree in neuroscience. You don’t have to predict what stocks will do if you can predict what traders will do and be one step ahead of them. I made a 400% return in the stock market (beating the return of the S&P 500 by an average of more than 25% annually) over five years using only basic principles of psychology and common sense. Beating Wall Street with Common Senseis now available on Amazon, and tradingcommonsense.com is always available on your local internet!