El-Erian: High Yield Drama Tells Us 3 Things

The Federal Reserve finally deemed the U.S. economy stable enough to raise interest rates this week, while volatility in the high-yield bond market appears anything but stable. Selloffs in the high yield market are typically bad for equities, and for now, the high-yield market remains firmly in a downtrend.

Regression

While the selloff in the high-yield market is certainly not good for investors, Goldman Sachs analyst John Marshall pointed out that the decline could simply be a regression following a long period of high-yield outperformance. According to Marshall, the 0.8 percent widening in the CDX HY 5Y in recent weeks is more than explained by the 25 percent decline in their corresponding equities in the past eight months.

El-Erian Weighs In

According to Mohamed El-Erian, the volatility in the high-yield bond market should serve…

Click here to continue reading

Want to learn more about how to profit off the stock market? Or maybe you just want to be able to look sophisticated in front of your coworkers when they ask you what you are reading on your Kindle, and you’d prefer to tell them “Oh, I’m just reading a book about stock market analysis,” rather than the usual “Oh, I’m just looking at pics of my ex-girlfriend on Facebook.” For these reasons and more, check out my book, Beating Wall Street with Common SenseI don’t have a degree in finance; I have a degree in neuroscience. You don’t have to predict what stocks will do if you can predict what traders will do and be one step ahead of them. I made a 400% return in the stock market over five years using only basic principles of psychology and common sense. Beating Wall Street with Common Sense is now available on Amazon, and tradingcommonsense.com is always available on your local internet!